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Joe Burrow 4,000 Pass Yards (-225) Reasoning

At -225, this pick doesn't have the best odds, but, barring injury, it should be a lock. With Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr both under contract, Burrow has his top two targets, who are perhaps the best wide receiver tandem in the NFL. If the Bengals are even close to as bad on defense as they were last season, Burrow will be throwing the ball a ton. Chase is entering his prime right now, and has a chance to set some receiving records, based on last year's performance. Obviously, that would help Burrow out tremendously, if Chase were able to get anywhere close to the NFL receiving record, after eclipsing 1,700 yards last season. In seasons not cut short due to injury, Burrow has absolutely crushed the 4,000 yard mark, throwing for almost 5,000 in 2024. I don't see a way that this doesn't hit. He could set the single season passing yards record in 2025.

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